In the past 1-2 years, electric cars are crazy into the market and become the mainstream of the market. The news about pure electric cars is almost changed almost every day. Competition between automakers and battery companies has become increasingly fierce. It seems that if all people do not buy a pure electric car, they can’t keep up with the era.
And after the new energy vehicle is here, the maximum impact is not a gasoline internal combustion engine engine, but a diesel engine. There are already many car brands that have been announced to give up the development of diesel internal combustion engine engines. Coupled with the influence of the German Volkswagen “emission door” incident. A shadow is covered with the diesel car engine in the future.
But recently we discovered German diesel engines, and the car market share has tended to stabilize. Although the German automotive industry is actively transformed into electric vehicles. But why is the market share of German diesel engines still can be around 30%?
In the new car sold in Germany, it is equipped with diesel engines. The sales share of the model is 28.1%. This is the same as the overall market share of Europe, which is due to the results of the 2015 diesel “emission door” incident. Even Spains in 2015 over 60%, last year atrophy to 27.7%.
Diesel in the German new car market (source = European Automison Manufacturers Association)
2015: 47.7%
2016: 45.8%
2017: 38.7%
2018: 32.23]
2019: 32.0%
2020: 28.1%
Since 2015, Germany’s diesel car market I have been affected and the decline has been large. It is 2018 2019, there is not much change. By 2020, due to the influence of new coronal pneumonia epidemics, the proportion decreased by 3.9 percentage. However, some German car experts predict. Future German diesel car marketThe share will remain at a level of about 30%.
Changes in the market share of German new cars in the past two years
The above table shows the monthly fuel from 2019 to now Changes in market share. The change in diesel engines did not exceed expectations. Although last year’s market share declines due to the influence of the epidemic and the subsidy policy of electric vehicles, it did not decrease as gasoline. Instead, we can see that this year’s moon share of gasoline and diesel is growing rapidly.
So, how much is the average of 30% of the diesel market in recent years? Considering that the annual sales of German new cars exceeds 3 million, it can be seen as about 1 million. In other words, although diesel is no longer able to enjoy the glory of the past, it still means that only 1 million diesel cars are sold only in Germany. This is a number that cannot be ignored. So why is the diesel car so power in the market?
Diesel engine is suitable for commercial vehicles and off-road vehicles
Personal consumers who purchase small cars in Germany choose to choose smell Very high, but due to some commercial purposes, the proportion of diesel engines is very high due to the company-based procurement type or the size model above the medium-sized vehicle. Since the price of diesel is lower than the price of gasoline, the use of diesel engines can reduce operational costs.
Although the German government is now driving a business car to convert to new energy, the endless mileage of the pure electric car has become a short board. Therefore, it can be seen that the demand for diesel engines will always exist. It will not completely eliminate the development of new energy vehicles.
Passat is very popular in the German business car market
According to Di Presage, Austria, 2018, 75% of the medium and large SUVs sold by Austria, 80% of the luxury car and about 70% of the commercial vehicle are diesel engines.
Ou 6D diesel emissions have achieved amazing results
The problem of diesel cars is the emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx). “Diesel Gate” is higher than the number of nitrogen oxides discharged on the actual road to the actual road by manipulating the emissions of nitrogen oxide. However, since Europe Emissions Standard 6D-TEMP be implemented since 2017, diesel engine pollutants have been much less.
From 2018 to 2019, the German Driving Club ADAC introduced the nitrogen oxide value of the diesel car of the European 6D-TEMP when driving on real roads.
In the above figure, all 13 diesel cars are passed through RDE Standard, except for the Civic 1.6 liter, all are much lower than the final EURO 6D reference (80 mg per kilometer). This level indicates that it can meet the European seven standards starting in 2025, may require a 30 mg / km of nitrogen oxide emissions, or even 10 mg / km of nitrogen oxide emissions.
Recently, Germany’s leading Automount Shooport has also attracted attention in the problem of nitrogen oxide emissions in diesel. According to reports, almost all cars in the past have reached the standard level of nitrogen oxides emissions from diesel vehicles. Even in 2025, European 7 is implemented, and the emission standards are improved, manufacturers (especially German manufacturers) do not have much burden.
Mercedes Middot; Mercedes-Benz diesel SUV passes the RDE test
Therefore, BMW has recently announced the annual meeting. The future vision of the group, that is, MINI cars will be in the 2030At the beginning, it turned into a full electric car brand, but BMW did not completely abandon the diesel engine.
In fact, BMW is also officially announced to continue to produce by moving Munich’s engine assembly factories to Austria and the United Kingdom. Ford has said that it will transform into electrified brands before 2030, and also means that it will not close its factory in the UK for a diof engine. A Ford executive said that the service life of diesel cars will be longer than your imagination.
The EA288 EVO diesel engine of the Volkswagen meets environmental standards
But this does not mean that the diesel engine will exit the historical stage, and the diesel engine can still be sold everywhere in the world. Until 2050, the United Nations will treat it as the first year of carbon, not to mention that there is also a major commercial vehicle truck to continue to use diesel engines.
In fact, we can think about it, now the new energy car is highly respected, because environmental pollution problems are more serious, but if gasoline engine and diesel engine solves the problem of environmental pollution, then they are eliminated Time can be extended.
Many people may say that the internal combustion engine engine exits the historical stage, but also because oil is an irreplaceable energy. But in fact, many rare metals used in batteries of new energy vehicles are also non-renewable. Therefore, the era of diesel engines is far from the end.