stumbled in the family home, after reading a few articles spirit of the moment a lot.
textual carelessness: “impact of the epidemic started, the car dealer cash flow difficulties, a lot of low-cost car sale now, the new Middle East Prado 2.7L version sold only 360,000 instructions in parallel. importers do not fly too, years ago, the price speculation so high, now anxious to use the money straight down forty or fifty thousand, say good integrity it? “
everyone read, perhaps cursing profiteers sides happy: Oh, really cheap car. But ingot some really flustered, the new Prado 2.7L stood in the hall, 360 000 price lower than the purchase price, do not lose money?
have not been at work, and quickly confirm the accuracy of news about it.
a, 360,000 can buy really Prado 2.7L?
sweep through a dedicated car dealer App eyes quotations, but the circle of peers and advice a lot, relieved child, the information is not feeling rumors fly .
At present, for individual buyers of car dealers scattered barely started, relatively large scale, wholesale dealers started to focus more, but less for consumers and business, market sentiment is still very deserted. Car around the city only a few sparse logistics scooters, less lively past.
At the same time, popular models offer really floating, such as: the Prado 2.7L lowest with about 395,000, way music 4.0L XE 41.5 million cases, Pajero V97 30 Wan since, Wrangler 395,000 cases, the Range Rover sport 2.0T least about 680,000 yuan, Ford F150 XLT 38.5 million. ( different businesses offer slightly different, access will not be much )
Overall, the market is fairly stable, but there is more than year ago slightly lower, but 360000 buy Prado 2.7L statement or exaggerated. We do not rule out one example, when the stock market but do not fall into the trap.
Second, the epidemic is not lower prices last straw
epidemic affecting plus the Spring Festival holiday, a total of 1 month or so, and the usual New Year’s automobile market is not too bad. A lot of turnover coupled with strong sales bring up the end of the year, the majority of car dealers to maintain healthy operation of the operator, the normal repayment of funds is the time there, not to the capital chain collapse.
even if individual SMEs there is no pressure, cheaper shot twelve cars goods vehicles can survive. However, these low-cost car hardly fall into the hands of consumers. As good quality and low price of the used car rarely to the hands of consumers, as it is pre-empted the inevitable counterparts.
On the one hand, sellers for the rapid return of funds, there is no mood for regular sales service, but pushed directly to peers. This is more efficient, but also make friends, order a car overseas tour later, Hall R & D center and more convenient. On the other hand, the strength of the car dealer will hear the shot.
real pressure on, or getting close to full implementation of the country six times, after all merchandise in stock cars are five national standard, once the clearance is not easily directly hit the hands.
assume that April can return to normal, as the country’s six July 1st full implementation , played full count there were 3 months, parallel imports in 2019 total sales of 163,200, calculated according to the amount of inventory in half, to 3 months sold 80,000 imported cars is difficult.
Therefore, whether to postpone the implementation of six countries will be a key dealers were able to get breathing space, but also the future of parallel imported cars is up is the key to fall.
Third, the country’s six b, is the key to determine the prices of the ups and downs of
for parallel imported cars, because the goods vehicle emissions have been unable to obtain six countries, Since last year, dealers introduced new car volume has gradually decreased.
import volume in July 2019 was only 10,000, down 61.6 percentage year on year; last year, the Middle East version of the model stops declaration.
To put it plainly, car makers basically busy cleaning up inventory status . We can perform time by the number of stocks, consumer enthusiasm and the six countries, to analyze the future price movements.
After the plague, if the country six b execution time constant, three cases:
▎ consumption enthusiasm can be restored to before the Spring Festival. So as the number of normal inventory reduction, parallel import car prices will remain basically unchanged, at most, in order to speed up the clearing, there will be some price cuts in late June.
▎ consumer enthusiasm is much larger than before the Spring Festival. Then the possibility of a substantial price reduction will increase significantly, after all, financial pressures and the end of June limited to five countries, allow car makers have resorted to price cuts of big killing device.
▎ consumer enthusiasm retaliatory up. This situation has emerged in Beijing. Today is Saturday, the start of the vehicle leading to the Fragrant Hills crowded, we refer to “hold crazy.” Then the prices will be slightly higher.
that consumer enthusiasm, after the plague is going to go up or down it?
done before the car poly Jun survey shows that one of the questions asked: the epidemic of your car affect it? “No impact, originally wanted to buy” and “influential, did not want to buy, buy now” add up to the sum of 27 percentage. This one”Want to buy a car “does not count low proportion in the general population.
On the other hand it should be noted, because of the epidemic and do not want to buy a car ( 19.1 percentage ), much larger than because the epidemic and want to buy cars are ( 7.8 percentage ). Close-range automobile market is not optimistic.
Therefore, comprehensive consideration down, if the plague the country six b execution time of change, then there will be some price cuts parallel imports.
However, if the country’s six b execution time can be delayed, and that the result is not easy to say: longer sales time, dealers are more emboldened, might be appropriate to add inventory price also firmer more.
In either case, however, like the Prado, Rand Road, Chak cool, GLS, etc. popular models, should not have too exaggerated fluctuations, because of their relatively high degree of market acceptance. These models are used prospective new car prices are relatively strong.
If the price of a new car in case really falls under the second-hand car, then pushed directly to the dealers of second-hand car dealers do not like it? Why sell yourself, worry and effort.
like the Escalade, Mustang and other niche models, there may be relatively large price cuts – time is running out, not sell itself, rather than hit the hands, better to lose less points.
car poly Summary
[123 ] feedback from the market point of view, consumer enthusiasm after the plague there is hope of recovery. Many foreign dealers have begun to hoard goods into the car, like the Pajero, Prado and smooth sailing and other low-end imported cars, there is a small part of the volume, which is why port wholesalers first started.
Further, largePartners are in retreat, the reach of the sale of real scene, parallel importation and no unified official channels, the network will inevitably be untrue information, or to calm analysis, or telephone inquiries at professionals in order to avoid the trap of cheap trick.
For example, more fire preceding the “hi 150,000 to mention BMW 5,232,012 Year” story, second-hand car priced at 15-18 million, 15 million for certainly the worst condition, age of the vehicle for a long time, poor condition of the BMW repair them, two or three million savings to buy a car is very easy to take into the open repair shop next door to the Pharaoh happy friends.
Finally, add the oil, hoping to end quickly the epidemic, let us wantonly embrace the spring wind.