After three consecutive years of experience, the annual sales of the car market fell year-on-year, and believe that many people will have such questions. Is the car market in the car market in 2021? In the past 2020, it is the least ordinary year in China’s macroeconomic history. The outbreak and prevention of new crown epidemic have led to an unprecedented fading of China’s macroeconomic, and the automotive industry as a national economic pillar is naturally impacted.
Although the sales volume of new cars fell into the ice point in February 2020, in the next subsequent time, with the incentive of the epidemic and policies, etc. The sales volume of new cars is basically cold. However, in general, although the sales volume in 2020 reached 19.763 million, it was still reduced by 6006,000 units than the sales volume of 25.769 million in 2019, and the year-on-year decreased by 6.3%. Therefore, this year, the new car is selling throughout the year, can you have a “negative growth”?
From the current new car sales performance, the sales volume sales in January this year is 2.16 million, although the price is 5.5%, but the year-on-year increase 25.7 percentage, this is the second good performance in the car market in the past decade, so it is also a good head. And according to the sales data released by many car companies, most of the car companies grow, which is also a good start. After three consecutive years of sales, there may be certain rising kinetics after the sales decline in sales in three consecutive years.
The relevant mechanism also has an optimistic expectation of the new car in 2021, China and Automobile Association predicts the increase of passenger sales in 2021. The percentage, the central auto center predicts that the 2021 car market will achieve 6.1 percentage growth. The reason for this, “high-opening” in January, giving a strong needle for the entire automotive industry. If in subsequent time, the sales of new car markets can continue to rise in the level of new cars in January, so this year will be able to achieve growth. In addition, there is also a policy level.
In the last month, 12 departments such as the Ministry of Commerce jointly issued several measures to boost bulky consumption, key consumption and release rural consumption potential, encourage the purchase of urban optimization restrictions to increase the number of indicators. Moreover, in order to promote car consumption in the rural market, there will be a new round of cars to go to the countryside and the old-replaced, encourage conditions for the purchase of 3.5 tons and below the truck, 1.6 liters and the following displacement passengers, eliminating the country III and the following emissions standard cars and purchase new cars, subsidizes, etc.
The local government also responded positively and increased the policies for promoting car consumption. For example, Tianjin will further promote the supplementary measures of car consumption in the last month to seek opinions for the public. According to the new policy of Tianjin, the number of new passenger cars in 20021 is 35,000. Relaxing personal incremental indicators, relaxation of non-Tianjin household registration personnel outside the Beijing, and the home registration personnel participating in small bus personal increment indicators. Therefore, relevant institutions expect new national levels and local governments, will bring continuous positive for the market.
However, the author believes that the sales of new cars in the car market should achieve growth, although it is inseparable from policies. However, although the policy has been promulgated, but the implementation of the implementation strength and the final effect, we have to continue to observe how much the sales volume of the new car in the car market has effectively. Moreover, we look at the supply chain and find a “timed bomb”.
Due to the impact of the epidemic plus the supplier plan for no circumference, the semiconductor industry did not follow the pace of recovery last year, so the global automotive industry appeared. The chip shortage. Moreover, in the near future, various natural disasters have exacerbate this situation, such as 253 earthquakes in Fukushima, February 13th, the world’s car chip market share ranks third Japan Risa Electronics, in Fukushima A main plant in Zicheng County, the county announced a suspension of production, and a number of chemical companies that supply raw materials for chipmakers have also suspended production. 
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In addition, on February 18th, the United States encountered blizzards in the United States, leading to electricity supply in Texas, Texas, and the Samsung, Austin, Austin, the state capital. And the UFC semiconductor factory was forced to shut work. According to IHS Markit’s prediction, the impact of “finishing” will continue to continue until this year, and it is expected that nearly 1 million cars in the first quarter of this year. Therefore, if the chip problem is not improved quickly, then the car industry in the car, the production capacity will be greatly influenced by the Chinese automotive industry, which will affect the sales of new cars.
From the perspective of sensibility, the author is expected to be a national economic pillar. The automotive industry can revitalize the trend in the Year of the Ox, and the sales volume of new cars can also achieve growth. However, from a rational point of view, we must think that the new car can achieve a total growth, and the front is not a flat and wide avenue, but a sheep trail growing with thorns. However, the author also believes that even if this year, it is not possible to realize the annual sales volume of the car, but the probability can further achieve decline in decline. In addition, always hug, isn’t it?
(Image source network, intrusion)