If this is not 2019 novel coronavirus cause of the epidemic, so, now days, many people should still be discussing an old topic, in 2020 the automotive market where when stopped falling again return to positive growth in the automobile market in 2020, who died who is more powerful, as well as the automobile market in 2020, the battle for traditional enterprises and new forces repairer repairer.
Today, the topic is not too important, important is peace, it is important to overcome the epidemic.
Wuhan though empty, although Self – protecting everyone, but faced with this disease, it is foreseeable that the Chinese people will overcome it and re back on track.
in 2003 and 2020 in different share the same
After the end of the epidemic, the automobile industry environment, high probability will usher in growth in the short term, but in the long term, the market environment is still in upgrading and restructuring phase.
After the 2003 SARS outbreak, an increase in the second quarter of the year reached 66 percentage over the past 17 years, but also allows us to clearly see the reason for its rapid growth.
January 2003 in trade blowout after entering the WTO, the overall economic environment at the time all to the good, so it is reflected in the level of car significantly positive growth;..
2 consumer quot; private space safety quot; With greater demand in the outbreak, reduce the degree of safety of public transport, private cars will undoubtedly satisfy the quot; private space safety quot ;. And it will have the characteristics of automobile consumption in 2003, although the shop to look at cars, not many people, but the vehicle turnover rate is very high 4S stores, car-free family in the car and quickly converted. .
3 automobile industry structure level, the 2003 market environment for sales greater than production quot; quot ;, and less demand of car manufacturers that time, you can select a range significantly smaller than now.
4. The private car market in Peru fashion at the initial stage, the main market for the previous commercial vehicles, taxis, trucks, private cars due to priceGrid main reason for not selling the bear until 2002 Xiali began to cut prices, opened the prelude to a rapid development of the private car market.
In 2003 and 2020 China’s auto market is the same or different, similarities are that the second point, consumers quot; private space safety quot; there will be more demand, but different is that the 2020 auto market is no longer the primary stage, the level of competition is very intense now, and the relationship between production and sales, but also from the previous quot; short supply quot; now become the quot; quot oversupply ;.
to pick up short-term long-term variable
in front of the epidemic, many experts concluded in both mentioned one thing in common, is expected to usher in a short time because of a decline in control point, as temperatures the gradual increase in the epidemic would be further weakened.
and combined with the latest extension of the Spring Festival holiday arrangements, a lot of car prices across the resumption of work directly into the January, February, while the annual output of 2.24 million units 2019, production ranked fourth in the country in Hubei province is expected to speed recovery slower than the industry as a whole. When
However, China’s auto market demand will not change significantly high probability, in 2010 China surpassed the US market as the world’s largest single market car market , a transcript 13.5 million, after a few years, China is the order of the narrow passenger firmly locked in more than 20 million units.
demand will remain basically unchanged or even increased rapidly within a short time after the end of the epidemic, while production because of the outbreak of the lag, which means that after the initial outbreak, the consumer market has a strong growth potential. Market environment has a positive growth potential within a short time, but that does not mean broken down to the level of car prices can plateful gains across the board.
In the long run, after a short-term shock, or automobile market will return to normal and varied. After all, there is now too much of China’s auto market in the brand, with technical strength of the enterprise is not much, consumers can identify the needs of enterprises are not many, still in progress when the knockout.
Written in the last:
From the perspective of the major car firms, which are now also doing something about the epidemicResponse, such as Volvo, Audi sales channels no longer mandatory monthly sales tasks, giving the channel a better long-term health development. Today’s epidemic, based on the level of sales in the gap period, it is foreseeable that, when the epidemic weakened at the end, China’s auto market will usher in a short period fluctuations in sales, but the long term, everything is still full of variables .
After all, today’s market environment, the business environment, and in 2003 when, as different as day. And that will also help to accelerate the phase-out of China’s automobile industry, so leave a good brand, horse, by nature expulsion.